Operating scenario · Base
Live bank £14.9K. Forecast funding gap £240.6K. Plan trough −£2.0M in Jul-28.
Cash turns negative w/c 19-Oct
Forecast opening balance drops below zero without new funding or sales uplift.
Peak cash need w/c 26-Oct
Outflows of 67,292 against thin sales receipts.
Decide now
2 open · 5 total
Release survival tranche (~£0.7m)
Clear overdraft path and fund through mid-2027 without extra launch stock.
Approve with spend limits
Operate Low/Base or chase High
High fails monthly cash test vs £2.5m. Do not fund Ideal opex on this raise size.
Run Low/Base operating plan
Release evidence tranche (~£1.0m)
Only if Goop reorder / Tinted shelf / ROAS proof is visible.
Hold until FY27 evidence
Release growth remainder
Only if FY28 run-rate is visible before the cash trough.
Hold — protect £456k Low cushion
Bridge vs raise
If syndicate will not fund: ~£70k secured bridge to sell assets with lights on.
Prepare term sheet in parallel